Comments on: Oakland Crime Stats, November 2009

By: len raphael

len raphael — Tue, 01 Dec 2009 06:58:56 +0000

Vivek, do your stats back up the impression i’m getting that violent street crime in Temescal and North Oakland below Telegraph in the 50′s is flaring up?

This stuff will put a serious crimp in Temescal’s gourmet ghetto growth if it continues.

Seems like the predictions about high unemployment = higher crime might be a lagging indicator.

-len raphael

By: VivekB

VivekB — Tue, 24 Nov 2009 05:46:57 +0000

For those who want an exhaustive look at the detailed movements by OPD beat, I just did the monthly analyisis of crime stats through October. You can find the link in the Crime&Safety forum on my site(http://rockridgeresidents.org/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=4), in the Monthly Crime Stats notification thread.

In addition to the regular beats/geographies (Rockridge – 12Y/13X), other Area 1 beats (4X, 7X, 9X, 10X, 11X, 12X), Fruitvale beats (18Y, 20X, 21X, 21Y), I added two Oakland Hills beats (25X, 25Y).

In looking at micromovements, there was a big uptick in violent crime in 12Y/13X during October, plus we can see why the recent OPD alerts about auto crime were issued. And, if you look at the #s it’s very clear that crime is moving into Rockridge and 9X from other Area 1 beats. 12X (Temescal) is loving life, though.

By: Patrick

Patrick — Mon, 23 Nov 2009 23:17:06 +0000

Reassessments are fine, but they are of little use when the City of Oakland just jacks up the property tax rate in response. As long as 60% of our population can vote on bond measures that only financially affect the remaining 40%, it is only going to get worse. Our only hope is that enough of those 60% are dumb enough to vote “no”, not realizing they wouldn’t have to pay anyway. Which is highly possible. Now is a great time to be a renter – especially in Oakland.

Anyone care to hazard a guess as to what the ad valorem rate will be next year? I’m thinking somewhere between 1.52 and 1.54.

By: David

David — Mon, 23 Nov 2009 21:34:53 +0000

Sorry to hear that John.

It’s different with the bubble collapse. People buying in my ‘hood have money left over to fix up houses, so it’s improving despite/because of the price declines. Of course that’s only beneficial to new buyers, not to those who bought in 2005 or whenever.

By: len raphael

len raphael — Mon, 23 Nov 2009 18:54:11 +0000

John, i assume you tried to negotiate a loan modification?

a line of well dressed people stretched around oakland tech the other weekend for a loan mod session.

-len

By: John

John — Mon, 23 Nov 2009 18:22:47 +0000

As the purchaser of a $600K Maxwell Park home, the status of East Oakland looks a lot more like rapid and unchecked degentrification to me.

As soon as my foreclosure is final, I’ll be running as far and as fast as I can. See you Oakland, it was fun while it lasted.

By: David

David — Mon, 23 Nov 2009 17:34:22 +0000

Took me a year, FYI.

By: Ralph

Ralph — Mon, 23 Nov 2009 17:00:56 +0000

len, thanks. those nimrods did a qtr of my bldg and have been ignoring the rest of us. i think i saw something about an option for refund or apply to pymt. like my uncle sam always said never trust the gubment with your money

By: len raphael

len raphael — Mon, 23 Nov 2009 16:35:10 +0000

Ralph, depending on time of year, it can take between 4 mos and a year. basically you gotta pay at old value until they lower it. don’t know if they send you a check or apply to next payment, but assume they send you a check. don’t know re. interest.

By: Ralph

Ralph — Mon, 23 Nov 2009 16:31:03 +0000

David, do you recall how long after submitting your request that someone responded? I’m really in no mood to send them extra money and wait for a refund.